Emirates NBD Research
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MENA Importers Forecasts
| Egypt* | 2020 | 2021 | 2022e | 2023f | 2024f |
| Nominal GDP $bn | 366.2 | 408.5 | 379.5 | 247.2 | 230.5 |
| Real GDP % | 3.6 | 3.3 | 6.6 | 3.5 | 4.1 |
| Current A/C % GDP | -3.1 | -4.9 | -3.9 | -3.2 | -3.0 |
| Budget Balance % GDP | -7.9 | -7.3 | -6.7 | -6.8 | -6.7 |
| CPI % | 5.1 | 5.2 | 13.8 | 23.1 | 9.0 |
| Jordan | 2020 | 2021 | 2022e | 2023f | 2024f |
| Nominal GDP $bn | 43.7 | 46.5 | 49.3 | 52.1 | 54.9 |
| Real GDP % | -1.6 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 2.8 |
| Current A/C % GDP | -5.7 | -8.5 | -7.3 | -4.7 | -4.8 |
| Budget Balance % GDP | -7.7 | -6.1 | -6.5 | -5.3 | -4.5 |
| CPI % | 0.3 | 1.4 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 2.0 |
| Lebanon | 2020 | 2021 | 2022e | 2023f | 2024f |
| Nominal GDP $bn | 63.6 | 108.5 | 19.4 | 21.5 | 66.4 |
| Real GDP % | -25.0 | -9.8 | -5.5 | 1.0 | 2.8 |
| Current A/C % GDP | -4.7 | -2.7 | -13.7 | -11.8 | -11.0 |
| Budget Balance % GDP | -4.3 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| CPI % | 84.3 | 151.0 | 183.8 | 100.0 | 60.0 |
| Morocco | 2020 | 2021 | 2022e | 2023f | 2024f |
| Nominal GDP $bn | 121.4 | 142.9 | 136.2 | 144.4 | 159.2 |
| Real GDP % | -7.2 | 7.9 | 1.3 | 3.5 | 3.5 |
| Current A/C % GDP | -1.2 | -2.3 | -5.0 | -4.0 | -3.3 |
| Budget Balance % GDP | -7.1 | -5.0 | -5.5 | -5.3 | -5.0 |
| CPI % | 0.7 | 1.4 | 6.6 | 6.0 | 3.5 |
| Tunisia | 2020 | 2021 | 2022e | 2023f | 2024f |
| Nominal GDP $bn | 39.3 | 40.8 | 37.7 | 38.6 | 41.5 |
| Real GDP % | -8.6 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 3.4 |
| Current A/C % GDP | -6.5 | -7.0 | -11.7 | -8.4 | -7.5 |
| Budget Balance % GDP | -10.2 | -8.6 | -8.8 | -9.2 | -9.5 |
| CPI % | 5.6 | 5.7 | 8.3 | 8.1 | 5.0 |
| Oil Importers (GDP weighted avg) | 2020 | 2021 | 2022e | 2023f | 2024f |
| Nominal GDP $bn | 246.5 | 271.5 | 268.2 | 171.9 | 158.6 |
| Real GDP % | -2.5 | 2.2 | 4.5 | 3.1 | 3.6 |
| Current A/C % GDP | -3.3 | -4.4 | -5.2 | -4.3 | -4.6 |
| Budget Balance % GDP | -7.5 | -5.6 | -6.3 | -6.1 | -5.4 |
| CPI % | 11.9 | 25.4 | 16.4 | 18.2 | 12.6 |
Source: Haver Analytics, National sources, Emirates NBD Research
* Egypt data refers to fiscal year (July-June)