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ARTICLES FOR

GLOBAL MACRO

China: Assessing the economic challenges

Slower Chinese growth may be here to stay in the near-term, with structural challenges likely to weigh on the economy going forward.

ECONOMICS, GLOBAL MACRO - 12.09.2023

Energy imports remain strong in China

Strong demand for fuel stands at odds with a slump in industrial activity.

MARKETS, ECONOMICS - 07.09.2023

The National: Is the global rate hiking cycle coming to an end?

Recent data suggests developed market inflation may have peaked.

ECONOMICS, GLOBAL MACRO - 05.09.2023

Monthly Insights: August 2023

A roundup of our key reports and forecast updates for August 2023.

ECONOMICS, GCC MACRO - 14.08.2023

TRENDING ARTICLES

China: Assessing the economic challenges
12.09.2023

The National: Is the global rate hiking cycle coming to an end?
05.09.2023

Monthly Insights: August 2023
14.08.2023

Slowing inflation clears way for extended Fed pause
11.08.2023

Energy imports remain strong in China
07.09.2023

Slowing inflation clears way for extended Fed pause

We expect the central bank to maintain a cautious stance but will hold off from further hikes.

MARKETS, FIXED INCOME - 11.08.2023

The outlook for dollar dominance

US dollar dominance is likely to continue for now, but over the longer-term it appears plausible that a more diversified set of reserve currencies may emerge.

ECONOMICS, GLOBAL MACRO - 14.07.2023

The National: Bank of England was behind the curve on interest rates

Higher-for-longer interest rates raise recession risks in developed economies.

MEDIA, BOE - 26.06.2023

Fed pauses but signals more to come

The FOMC kept the Fed funds rate on hold at its June meeting but the statement and commentary from the meeting were hawkish

ECONOMICS, MARKETS - 16.06.2023

Adjusted Taylor rule suggests limited further upside risk for the Fed Funds rate

Traditional Taylor rules suggest that the Fed Funds rate could be significantly higher, but once adjusted to reflect policy inertia there appears to be less upside risk

ECONOMICS, GLOBAL MACRO - 07.06.2023

MUST READ

China: Assessing the economic challenges
12.09.2023

The National: Is the global rate hiking cycle coming to an end?
05.09.2023

Monthly Insights: August 2023
14.08.2023

Slowing inflation clears way for extended Fed pause
11.08.2023

Energy imports remain strong in China
07.09.2023

Podcast: Where are interest rates headed?

The outlook for monetary policy is the focus of the latest episode of the Market Matters podcast.

ECONOMICS, MARKETS - 05.05.2023

Central banks hold the line on inflation

Rate-hiking cycle may be nearing end as bank stress leads to tighter credit conditions

MEDIA, ECONOMICS - 27.03.2023

Fed goes for a dovish hike

Inflation is still the priority but we are nearing the end of the hiking cycle.

MARKETS, FIXED INCOME - 23.03.2023

Fed likely to indicate more rate rises at March meeting

SVB failure means a return to 50bp increments is less likely but still possible.

GLOBAL MACRO, MEDIA - 13.03.2023

US macro scorecard - January

A round-up of the most widely followed macro data points from the US, compared to expectations and the previous month results.

ECONOMICS, GLOBAL MACRO - 28.02.2023

The economic impact of the Ukraine war is still evident one year on.

The tightening in financial conditions on the back of rate hikes, as well as increased energy costs, have weighed on global growth.

ECONOMICS, GLOBAL MACRO - 26.02.2023

US macro scorecard - December

A roundup of the most widely followed macro data points from the US, compared to expectations and the previous month s results.

ECONOMICS, GLOBAL MACRO - 31.01.2023

Monthly Insights - January

A round up of our publications and forecasts from January 2023

ECONOMICS, MARKETS - 26.01.2023

Are markets right to doubt the Fed?

Two 25bp rate cuts are currently priced in for H2 2023 but Fed officials are pushing back, saying that rates will need to stay higher for longer.

ECONOMICS, MARKETS - 25.01.2023

China: Reopening to support global growth

The easing of Covid 19 restrictions in China should provide a fillip to global growth through the second half of the year

ECONOMICS, GLOBAL MACRO - 06.01.2023

Global growth to slow in 2023 as central bank tightening bites

Fed remains focused on wage growth and tight labour market.

ECONOMICS, GLOBAL MACRO - 20.12.2022

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