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Emirates NBD International
Preserving spare capacity seems to be the aim of the bloc.
Higher output targets seem likely even if they will be a struggle to reach.
Futures and physical oil prices are telling very different stories.
But give no indication of what output levels may be later on in the year.
Gold will struggle in 2022
OPEC to set policy amid geopolitical crisis
Oil at 100: No.
Geopolitical risks supporting oil
Oil markets look past OPEC for now
Coordinating oil production policies may continue after September
But the impact on markets may fall far short of what is intended.
Conditions still appear tight despite OPEC commentary
Gold is failing to live up to haven status amid broad selling in markets.
Supply risks are increasing, setting the scene for volatile oil prices ahead.
Brexit is not over yet
Decision time for OPEC and allies
US yields race ahead
Emerging markets at risk of higher US yields
Oil markets to absorb higher OPEC output
Covid-19 restrictions in China are limiting demand but supply risks are acute.
The Middle East and North Africa are highly reliant on agriculture imports from Ukraine and Russia.
Carbon markets should help on journey to meet net-zero ambitions.
A drawdown on inventories ahead of a pending structural deficit in markets may backfire.
The threat of a considerable slowdown in the US and global economy appears acute.
The alliance of producers will look askance at geopolitics affecting the oil market.
Energy, metals and agriculture all need to establish geopolitical risk premiums.
Assumptions about security of cheap and reliable sources of energy need to be changed dramatically.
We expect an agreement for another moderate production increase.
A flight to safety in the near term but we still expect that the Fed will hike at its March meeting.
MARKETS, FIXED INCOME
Russia is a major producer across energy, metals and agricultural commodities.
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