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MARKETS

FX

Fed to hike by 50bps in May

Risks to US rates this year appear to the upside.

MARKETS, FIXED INCOME - 25.04.2022

Recession risk will limit how far Fed can go

The threat of a considerable slowdown in the US and global economy appears acute.

MARKETS, FX - 30.03.2022

Fed starts its fight against inflation

But the risks of a sharp slowdown in the US economy are high.

MARKETS, FX - 17.03.2022

Crisis in Eastern Europe roils markets

A flight to safety in the near term but we still expect that the Fed will hike at its March meeting.

MARKETS, FIXED INCOME - 24.02.2022

TRENDING ARTICLES

Dollar to remain strong in H1
14.01.2022

Fed starts to taper asset purchases
04.11.2021

Rally in risk to weigh on dollar
08.02.2021

Fed to hike by 50bps in May
25.04.2022

USD buoyed by stimulus and vaccination drive
17.03.2021

Dollar to remain strong in H1

A hawkish Federal Reserve should help to support the dollar against major peers.

MARKETS, FX - 14.01.2022

Fed starts to taper asset purchases

Focus remains on repairing the labour market rather than elevated inflation.

MARKETS, FX - 04.11.2021

High inflation leaves Fed with few good options

While the market is less optimistic that price pressures will moderate.

ECONOMICS, MARKETS - 27.10.2021

End of easy money looms

Policy gaps with low yielders and emerging markets could widen sharply.

MARKETS, FX - 26.09.2021

Fed leans toward tightening

Tighter policy sets market up for some dollar strength in 2022.

MARKETS, FX - 23.09.2021

MUST READ

FOMC sticks to accommodative tone
29.04.2021

ECB meeting in focus
03.06.2021

Monthly Insights: September 2021
23.09.2021

Inflation and the Fed
28.01.2021

Carbon markets in development in GCC
01.04.2022

Soft jobs numbers a challenge for taper timeline

We still expect an announcement on an end to asset purchases by end of the year.

MARKETS, FIXED INCOME - 05.09.2021

Asian economies at risk from slow vaccine rollouts

Risks to growth for the rest of the year are weighing on regional FX.

MARKETS, FX - 02.08.2021

Currencies at risk from spreading variants

Resurgence of mobility controls could stunt growth in Q3

MARKETS, FX - 30.06.2021

Monthly Insights: June 2021

A round-up of our key research insights and forecasts in June

MONTHLY INSIGHTS, GLOBAL - 23.06.2021

Emerging markets running out of road

A combination of higher rates, elevated commodity prices and still recovering economies will weigh on FX and bonds.

MARKETS, FX - 17.06.2021

ECB meeting in focus

The Euro has managed a turn around thanks to better vaccination rates. The ECB will set the next trajectory.

MARKETS, FX - 03.06.2021

EM bonds get reprieve amid lower UST yields

But further rally will depend on vaccine roll-out and economic performance.

MARKETS, FIXED INCOME - 21.04.2021

Euro benefits from better vaccine rollout

But growth will be compressed into H2 2021, raising more downside risks.

MARKETS, FX - 19.04.2021

USD buoyed by stimulus and vaccination drive

Growth differentials are widening considerably in favour of the US

MARKETS, FX - 17.03.2021

Emerging markets at risk of higher US yields

EM currencies have been resilient so far in face of rising UST yields

MARKETS, EMERGING MARKETS - 22.02.2021

Rally in risk to weigh on dollar

A sustained rally in risk markets could take the fizz out of the dollar in the near term.

MARKETS, FX - 08.02.2021

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