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Monthly Insights: May 2021

A round-up of our key research insights and forecasts in May.

ECONOMICS, GCC MACRO - 25.05.2021

Egypt inflation accelerates in May

Egypt inflation accelerates in May

ECONOMICS, EGYPT - 10.06.2021

Metals markets keep eye on inflation

Strong fundamentals should allow metals prices to ride through risk of tighter central bank policies

MARKETS, COMMODITIES - 09.06.2021

Dubai PMI slips in May

Tighter travel restrictions on key source markets weighed on activity and new work growth in May.

ECONOMICS, PMIS - 09.06.2021

Daily Outlook

Economic Calendar 14 June
13.06.2021

Bank of Canada keeps rates on hold
10.06.2021

Eurozone outlook remains mixed
09.06.2021

UK consumer confidence surges
08.06.2021

G7 agree global tax rules
07.06.2021

Khatija Haque on Bloomberg Daybreak: Middle East 8 June 2021

Omans Islamic bond sale and macros issues affecting the MENA and GCC regions.

MEDIA, BLOOMBERG DAYBREAK - 08.06.2021

ECB meeting in focus

The Euro has managed a turn around thanks to better vaccination rates. The ECB will set the next trajectory.

MARKETS, FX - 03.06.2021

Regional PMIs were mixed in May

Saudi Arabia and Egypt indices rose while the UAE PMI slipped slightly.

ECONOMICS, PMIS - 03.06.2021

OPEC keeps quiet on H2 2021 plans

Oil market balances are looking increasingly tight in H2

MARKETS, COMMODITIES - 02.06.2021

Podcast: ESG in focus

ESG investing is gaining traction around the world. The Emirates NBD Research team discusses the UAEs policy and progress in the ESG space.

MEDIA, PODCAST - 01.06.2021

Trade rebound impacting shipping costs

The recent spike in inflation across developed markets has been caused in part by rising shipping costs, in turn driven by a remarkable recovery in global trade in recent months.

ECONOMICS, GLOBAL - 01.06.2021

US macro scorecard - April

A roundup of the most widely followed monthly macro data points from the US, compared to expectations and the results of the previous month.

ECONOMICS, US - 31.05.2021

PMIs

Dubai PMI slips in May
09.06.2021

Regional PMIs were mixed in May
03.06.2021

Dubai PMI: Solid growth in new work and business activity in April
10.05.2021

Egypt PMI slips further in April
06.05.2021

PMIs: business activity improves in April, but input costs rise
04.05.2021

UAE bank lending slowed in March

Last years high base will weigh on credit growth rates in Q2 21 as well.

ECONOMICS, GCC MACRO - 27.05.2021

ESG In Focus

Environmental, social and governance criteria are a growing area of focus for organizations in the United Arab Emirates.

ECONOMICS, SECTOR ECONOMICS - 25.05.2021

Tunisian economy remains under pressure

First quarter GDP results and persistently high new Covid-19 case numbers in Tunisia confirmed that the economy remains under pressure and reaffirmed our decision to downgrade our 2021 forecast

ECONOMICS, TUNISIA - 24.05.2021

Central bankers push back against reflation narrative

Central bank officials on both sides of the Atlantic continue to push back against the reflation narrative that has gripped markets in recent months.

ECONOMICS, GLOBAL MACRO - 23.05.2021

Oil market begins to consider return of Iran

Risks to a diplomatic breakthrough remain but Iran has potential for sizeable increase in output

COMMODITIES, OIL - 19.05.2021

Dubai PMI: Solid growth in new work and business activity in April

Tourism sector shows improvement in business conditions in April.

PMIS, ECONOMICS - 10.05.2021

Economic rebound is uneven, uncertainties remain

Global GDP is expected to rebound strongly this year, with the IMF forecasting 6 percent growth. We expect the UAEs recovery to gain momentum in H2 2021.

ECONOMICS, GLOBAL MACRO - 09.05.2021

Egypt PMI slips further in April

The Egypt headline PMI number slipped to 47.7 in April, down from 48.0 in March. This was the lowest level since June last year, and the fifth consecutive sub 50.0 reading.

PMIS, EGYPT - 06.05.2021

PMIs: business activity improves in April, but input costs rise

Higher input costs are feeding through to higher selling prices.

PMIS, ECONOMICS - 04.05.2021

DUBAI

Dubai PMI slips in May

Tighter travel restrictions on key source markets weighed on activity and new work growth in May.

ECONOMICS, PMIS - 09.06.2021

Dubai PMI: Solid growth in new work and business activity in April

Tourism sector shows improvement in business conditions in April.

PMIS, ECONOMICS - 10.05.2021

Dubai PMI: Higher input costs squeeze margins in March

Dubai PMI rises to 51.0 in March from 50.9 in February.

PMIS, ECONOMICS - 11.04.2021

 

Dubai PMI rose in February

The survey indicated some improvement in business condition in the emirate.

PMIS, ECONOMICS - 09.03.2021

Dubai PMI signals slower start to 2021

The Dubai PMI reading slipped to 50.6 in January from 51.0 in December on the back of slower growth in business activity and new work.

ECONOMICS, PMIS - 09.02.2021

UAE: A mixed bag of data in January

The data released this month supports our view of a 6.9 percent contraction in 2020, but there is reason for optimism.

ECONOMICS, GCC MACRO - 21.01.2021

Dubai Property: Transaction volumes recover

The Dubai property market has showed an improvement in Q4 2020 data, compared to the previous quarter, however both sales and transactions remain lower than a year earlier.

ECONOMICS, SECTOR ECONOMICS - 18.01.2021

 
 

MARKETS

Metals markets keep eye on inflation

Strong fundamentals should allow metals prices to ride through risk of tighter central bank policies

MARKETS, COMMODITIES - 09.06.2021

ECB meeting in focus

The Euro has managed a turn around thanks to better vaccination rates. The ECB will set the next trajectory.

MARKETS, FX - 03.06.2021

MONTHLY INSIGHTS

Monthly Insights: May 2021
25.05.2021

Monthly Insights: April 2021
22.04.2021

Monthly Insights: March 2021
24.03.2021

Monthly Insights: February 2021
23.02.2021

 

OPEC and allies to focus on demand risks

Oil markets so far proving sanguine about downside risk to prices.

MARKETS, COMMODITIES - 26.04.2021

EM bonds get reprieve amid lower UST yields

But further rally will depend on vaccine roll-out and economic performance.

MARKETS, FIXED INCOME - 21.04.2021

One year on from negative oil prices

Conditions in the market are vastly better but demand risks remain

MARKETS, COMMODITIES - 20.04.2021

Euro benefits from better vaccine rollout

But growth will be compressed into H2 2021, raising more downside risks.

MARKETS, FX - 19.04.2021

Read more on Markets

 


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